House forecast
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Our forecast against the betting markets
Tap any dot to see one of our simulated elections, or play a random one.
The House
All 435 seats, lined up from most Democratic on the left to most Republican on the right. The dashed line marks seat 218. Hover over a seat for the race; click for its page.
The district map
Each hexagon is one district, placed inside its state and arranged by where it is. States too small to hold their districts at this size are shown just off the coast. Hover over a district for the race; click for its page.
Pick the winners
Call any of the 40 closest races. We keep only the simulated elections where your picks come true, so you see how control shifts in both chambers.
How many seats?
How often each seat total came up across our simulations.
The generic ballot
District polls
Every district poll in our averages, newest first. Many are campaign internals, which we adjust for and weight less.
Competitive races
| District | Democrat | Republican | Incumbent | Rating | Chance (D) |
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